Our quarterly update has been published later than normal, but there were some interesting market changes that occurred between March and April that we wanted to ensure we captured in this update.
All eyes are on the real estate market right now after the Bank of Canada’s 0.5% interest rate increase in April. The prime rate in April 2022 was 3.2% compared to 2.45% in April 2021. The number of sales in the GTA were down 41% from April 2021 and 27% from March 2022, largely because of this. The decrease was largely lead by the 905 region. In the City of Toronto prices were down 26% from April 2021.
In the first couple months of 2022, inventory was very low and buyers were eager to buy something within their rate lock timeframes from last year. Prices were up approximately 15% from the fall months to January & February. They have since settled down about 10% again as inventory and rates have increased. However, prices remain strong historically, with the average sale price up approximately 15% in Toronto from April 2021. The average Toronto detached house is up 15% with the average Toronto condo up 13%.
Market conditions remain somewhat tight with the most prime properties in prime locations, but conditions have loosened for all other property types. Though demand for housing in the GTA remains high, buying power has being reduced a greater amount.
A quote from TRREB President, Kevin Crigger, on the interest rate increases:
“Based on the trends observed in the April housing market, it certainly appears that the Bank of Canada is achieving its goal of slowing consumer spending as it fights high inflation. Negotiated mortgage rates rose sharply over the past four weeks, prompting some buyers to delay their purchase. Moving forward, it will be interesting to see the balance the Bank of Canada strikes between combatting inflation versus stunting economic growth and related government revenues as we continue to recover from and pay for pandemic-related programs.” said TRREB President Kevin Crigger.
We will continue to monitor the market through May & the remainder of the spring. Stay tuned for our 2nd quarter update!
Below is a look at average freehold prices & condo prices per square foot from the 1st quarter, organized by neighbourhood. We also include the average price from the 1st quarter of 2021 for comparison.